Prof. Dr. Douglas Maraun

Head of the former working group Statistical Climatology and Extreme Events

new affiliation at University of Graz

 


E-Mail: dmaraun(at)geomar.de
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Research Interests

  • Regional climate change
  • Extreme precipitation: variability, trends, causes
  • Validation of climate models
  • Statistical downscaling
  • Climate variability

Activities

  • Chair of the European research network VALUE (EU COST Action ES1102)
  • Member of the Executive Board of CORDEX-ESD, the WCRP initiative on statistical downscaling
  • PI of the international research project CE:LLO on modelling compound extreme events (Volkswagen Foundation)
  • PI of the international research project PLEIADES addressing the downscaling of precipitation extremes (Volkswagen Foundation)
  • PI of the German-Russian joint research group EUREX addressing extreme events in Northern Europe and Russia (Helmholtz Association)
  • Co-PI of the project Extreme Events in Hesse as part of the INKLIM project (Hessian Agency for Environment and Geology, finished)
  • Associate editor of the journal Nonlinear Processes in Geophyiscs (2010-2015)
  • Review editor of the journal Climate Research

Publications

Reviewed Publications in International Scientific Journals

2015

[31] D. Maraun and M. Widmann: The representation of location by a regional climate model in complex terrain, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 19: 3449-3456, 2015. 

[30] E.P. Meredith, V.A. Semenov, D. Maraun, W. Park and A.V. Chernokulsky: Crucial role of Black Sea warming in amplifying the 2012 Krysk precipitation extreme, Nature Geoscience 8: 615-619, 2015 (Highlighted by Nature, also see News and Views article by F.E.L. Otto).

[29] I. Hobaeck-Haff, A. Frigessi and D. Maraun: How well do regional climate models simulate the spatial dependence of precipitation? An application of pair-copula constructions, J. Geophys. Res. 120(7): 2624-2646, 2015.

[28] C. Volosciuk, D. Maraun, V. Semenov and W. Park. Extreme Precipitation in an Atmosphere General Circulation Model: Impact of Horizontal and Vertical Model Resolution,  J. Climate 28(3): 1184-1205, 2015.

[27] D. Maraun, M. Widmann, J.M. Gutierrez, S. Kotlarski, R.E. Chandler, E. Hertig, J. Wibig, R. Huth and R. Wilcke, VALUE - A framework to validate downscaling approaches for climate change studies, Earth's Future 3(1): 1-14, 2015.

2014

[26] J.M. Eden, M. Widmann, D. Maraun and M. Vrac: Comparison of GCM- and RCM-simulated precipitation following stochastic postprocessing, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 119, 11040-11053, 2014.

[25] G. Wong, D. Maraun, M. Vrac, M. Widmann, J.M. Eden and T. Kent. Stochastic model output statistics for bias correcting and downscaling precipitation including extremes, J. Climate 27:6940-6959, 2014. 

[24] D. Maraun. Reply to comment on "Bias Correction, Quantile Mapping and Downscaling. Revisiting the Inflation Issue". J. Climate 27:1821-1825, 2014. 

2013

[23] A.Y. Karpechko, D. Maraun and V. Eyring. Improving Antarctic Total Ozone Projections by a Process-Oriented Multiple Diagnostic Ensemble Regression. J. Atmos.Sci. 70(12): 3959-3976, 2013.

[22] D. Maraun. Bias Correction, Quantile Mapping and Downscaling. Revisiting the Inflation Issue. J. Climate 26:2137-2143, 2013. 

[21] D. Maraun. When will trends in European mean and heavy daily precipitation emerge? Env. Res. Lett. 8 014004, 2013.

2012

[20] A. Schindler, D. Maraun, A. Toreti and J. Luterbacher. Changes in the annual cycle of heavy precipitation across the British Isles within the 21st century. Env. Res. Lett. 7 044029, 2012. Selected as journal highlight.

[19] A. Schindler, D. Maraun and J. Luterbacher: Validation of the present day annual cycle in heavy precipitation over the British Islands simulated by 14 RCMs. J. Geophys. Res. 117, D18107, 2012.

[18] D. Maraun: Nonstationarities of regional climate model biases in European seasonal mean temperature and precipitation sums. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39, L06706, 2012

[17] D. Maraun, T.J. Osborn and H.W. Rust: The influence of synoptic airflow on UK daily precipitation extremes. Part II: climate model validation, Clim. Dynam. 39:287-301, 2012

2011

[16] D. Maraun, T.J. Osborn and H.W. Rust: The influence of synoptic airflow on UK daily precipitation extremes. Part I: observed spatio-temporal relations, Clim. Dynam. 36(1-2), 261-275, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-009-0710-9, 2011

2010

[15] D. Maraun, F. Wetterhall, A.M. Ireson, R.E. Chandler, E.J. Kendon, M. Widmann, S. Brienen, H.W. Rust, T. Sauter, M. Themessl, V.K.C. Venema, K.P. Chun, C.M. Goodess, R.G. Jones, C. Onof, M. Vrac and I. Thiele-Eich: Precipitation Downscaling under climate change. Recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user, Rev. Geophys. 48, RG3003, DOI: 10.1029/2009RG000314, 2010

[14] A. Toreti, F.G. Kuglisch, E. Xoplaki, D. Maraun, H. Wanner and J. Luterbacher: Characterization of extreme winter precipitation in the Mediterranean and associated anomalous atmospheric patterns, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 10, 1037-1050, 2010

[13] D. Maraun, H.W. Rust and T.J. Osborn: Synoptic airflow and UK daily precipitation extremes. Development and validation of a vector generalised linear model , Extremes 13, 133-153, DOI: 10.1007/s10687-010-0102-x, 2010

2009

[12] H.W. Rust, D. Maraun and T.J. Osborn: Modelling Seasonality in Extreme Precipitation. A UK case study, European Physical Journal Special Topics 174, 99-111, 2009

[11] D. Maraun, H.W. Rust and T.J. Osborn: The annual cycle of heavy precipitation across the UK: a model based on extreme value statistics, Int. J. Climatol.29(12), 1731-1744, 2009

2008

[10] D. Maraun, T.J. Osborn and N.P. Gillett: United Kingdom Daily Precipitation Intensity: Improved Early Data, Error Estimates and an Update from 2000 to 2006, Int. J. Climatol. 28(6), 833-842, 2008

2007

[9] B. Schaefli, D. Maraun and M. Holschneider: What drives high flow events in the Swiss Alps? Recent developments in wavelet spectral analysis and their application to hydrology, Adv. Wat. Resour. 30(12), 2511-2525 , 2007

NB! There are errors in ref [19] in the paper. The correct reference is the previous publication [8] in this list here:

[8] D. Maraun, J. Kurths and M. Holschneider: Nonstationary Gaussian Processes in Wavelet Domain: Synthesis, Estimation and Significance Testing. Phys. Rev. E 75, 016707, 2007

2006

[7] J. Saynisch, J. Kurths and D. Maraun: A Conceptual ENSO Model under Realistic Noise Forcing, Nonlin. Proc. Geophys. 13, 275-285, 2006

2005

[6] D. Maraun and J. Kurths: Epochs of Phase Coherence between El Niño/Southern Oscillation and Indian Monsoon, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L15709, doi:10.1029/2005GL023225, 2005

2004

[5] S. Rahmstorf, D. Archer, D.S. Ebel, O. Eugster, J. Jouzel, D. Maraun, U. Neu, G.A. Schmidt, J. Severinghaus, A.J. Weaver and J. Zachos: Reply to Comment on "Cosmic rays, carbon dioxide, and climate", Eos, Trans. AGU, 85(48), 511, 2004

[4] D. Maraun, H.W. Rust and J. Timmer: Tempting long-memory. On the interpretation of DFA results, Nonlin. Proc. Geoph. 11(4), 495-503, 2004

[3] D. Maraun and J. Kurths: Cross Wavelet Analysis. Significance Testing and Pitfalls, Nonlin. Proc. Geoph. 11(4), 505-514, 2004

[2] S. Rahmstorf, D. Archer, D.S. Ebel, O. Eugster, J. Jouzel, D. Maraun, U. Neu, G.A. Schmidt, J. Severinghaus, A.J. Weaver and J. Zachos: Cosmic rays, carbon dioxide, and climate, Eos, Trans. AGU, 85(4), 38, 41, 2004

[1] D. Maraun, W. Horbelt, H.W. Rust, J. Timmer, H.P. Happersberger and F. Drepper: Identification of rate constants and non-observable absorption spectra in nonlinear biochemical reaction dynamics, Int. J. Bif. Chaos 14, 2081-2092, 2004

 

Other

2007

[4] D. Maraun, J. Kurths and M. Holschneider: Continuous wavelet spectral analysis of climate dynamics. In: Analysis and Control of Complex Nonlinear Processes in Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Lecture Notes in Complex Systems, Vol. 5, 2007

2006

[3] D. Maraun: What Can We Learn from Climate Data? Methods for Fluctuation, Time/Scale and Phase Analysis, PhD thesis, University of Potsdam, 2006

[2] P.M. Crowley, D. Maraun and D. Mayes: How hard is the euro area core? A wavelet analysis of growth cycles in Germany, France and Italy. Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, 18, 2006

2002

[1] D. Maraun: Parameterschätzung in nichtlinearen Proteinfaltungsdynamiken, Diploma thesis, University of Freiburg, 2002

 

 

 

CV

Education

4/2011

University of Gießen

Habilitation

9/2006

  

University of Potsdam

  

Promotion

10/1995-3/2002

University of Ulm, University of Freiburg, NTNU Trondheim/Norway

Studies of Electrical Engineering and Physics

 

Scientific Career

seit 1/2011

  

GEOMAR (former Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences)

  

Juniorprofessor

7/2009-12/2010

Institute for Geography, University of Gießen

Akademischer Rat

2/2007-5/2009

Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK

Senior Research Associate

9/2006-1/2007

Nonlinear Dynamics, University of Potsdam

Postdoc

1/2002-9/2006

Nonlinear Dynamics, University of Potsdam

PhD student

4/2002-7/2002

Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen

Internship

 

 

 

 

 

 

Review Article on precipitation downscaling