18.08.2016: FB1-Seminar

14:00 h, Gr. Konferenzraum, Düsternbrooker Weg 20

Abstract:

An El Niño of surprising intensity developed in 2015-16, affecting patterns of weather variability worldwide. The event rivaled the 1997-98 El Niño, the strongest on record, in its magnitude and impacts. It was preceded in early 2014 by basin scale warming that was widely expected to develop into a full-fledged El Niño, but which unexpectedly died; and it will likely be followed by a La Niña cold event later in 2016 and 2017.  This presentation will describe the oceanic and atmospheric processes that gave rise to conditions observed over the period 2014-16, how well these conditions were predicted by various forecasting centers, and how they challenge current understand of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle.

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