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14.06.2019: FB1-Seminar

Prof. Dr. Johanna Baehr, Klimamodellierung, Institut für Meereskunde, Uni Hamburg, Hamburg: "Seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions: is less more?"

 

 

11:00 Uhr, Gr. Konferenzraum [R.075] , Düsternbrooker Weg 20

 

Seasonal to decadal climate predictions are nowadays operationally conducted, though skilful predictions for European climate remain a formidable challenge. I will present recent progress in predicting European climate variability using prediction systems based on the Max-Planck-Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM). In the presentation, I will also challenge some of the current practices in seasonal to decadal climate predictions, in particular the foci on the analysis of the ensemble-mean forecast and on the initialization as close as possible to the observed state of climate.

 

 

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